Polymarket Trader

a14alo

@baranonchain

0xa09a2977b81e2eaa74753cebecdbdc803c015cb8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $493.67
Realized PnL: $3.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 61.7%
Current value: $493.67
Potential payout: $800.77
Potential profit: $307.1
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $11.86

Over position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$48.48

Haiti position

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$50.5

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$50.5

Austria position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$65.65

No position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$75.75

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$50.5

Under position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$49.49

No position

Spain leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$31.31

Algeria position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$56.56

Yes position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$31.31

No position

Argentina leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.99
Potential profit: $100.99
User PnL: -$55.55

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.99
Potential profit: $100.99
User PnL: -$33.33

Croatia position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.99
Potential profit: $100.99
User PnL: -$70.69

Under position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.99
Potential profit: $100.99
User PnL: -$56.55

Under position

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.99
Potential profit: $100.99
User PnL: -$51.5

Yes position

Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.99
Potential profit: $100.99
User PnL: -$40.39

No position

England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.99
Potential profit: $100.99
User PnL: -$53.52

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.98
Potential profit: $100.98
User PnL: -$51.5

No position

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.97
Potential profit: $100.97
User PnL: -$54.52

Over position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.96
Potential profit: $100.96
User PnL: -$48.46

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$89

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.83

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.48

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.33

Yes position

Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.72

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12AM ET

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 7AM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.6

No position

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.99

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Arizona Wildcats position

Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.8

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.24

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.99

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.71

Yes position

Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.29

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.61

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Yes 48% 24.38 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?

No 67% 25.25 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 53% 25.36 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Japan?

No 90% 24.8 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5

Over 73% 50 shares
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score

No 64% 7.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Down 42% 40 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 89% 100 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

No 99.5% 1,005.03 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 14% 499.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Down 66% 19.99 shares
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 68% 8.22 shares