No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $700
- User PnL
- -$415
Polymarket Trader
Heldenkampf
0xa0a46112f6004903fc0692206b7ad489d482621a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $275.11
- Realized PnL
- $20.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$425.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $400.01
- User PnL
- -$272
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.98
- Potential profit
- $324.98
- User PnL
- -$213.34
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $193.56
- Potential payout
- $199.14
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $52.98
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $59.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.4
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $9.71
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $919.01
No position
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.39
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $703.85
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.76
No position
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.1
Yes position
Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $577.4
No position
Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575.25
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.04
No position
Solana above $255 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.03
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.41 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.44
Yes position
Will Kanye have no token before April
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.1
Nunn position
IA-03 election: Baccam (D) vs. Nunn (R)
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.38
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.84
No position
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.55
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.33
Yes position
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $418.03
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by June 11?No 90.7% 142.83 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No 89% 253 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 12?No 88% 11.63 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 98% 400 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 97.9% 100 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 31% 42 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No 23% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 48% 12.05 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 91.7% 12.2 shares
- Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?Yes 88% 50 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 98.9% 131.74 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 65% 10.29 shares