Polymarket Trader

dumbassbet

0xa0ae41c55cd6e12acaf13fc9703d9a1a90f25016

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.04
Realized PnL: $23.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $1.48
Potential payout: $30.56
Potential profit: $29.07
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $2.91
Potential payout: $5.77
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $4.12
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $5.17
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$2

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69
Potential profit: $4.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.62
Potential profit: $4.62
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.48

Celtics position

Nuggets vs. Celtics

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67
Potential profit: $2.67
User PnL: -$2

Massachusetts Minutemen position

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $1.06
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.18

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will "Epstein" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Scam" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will "Six Seven" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $0.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will "Maduro" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 5PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

No 98.4% 2.38 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

No 84% 2.38 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 40% 7.5 shares
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Bilibili Gaming 82% 4.88 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: January

No 99.6% 4.25 shares
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?

No 89% 1.14 shares
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Yes 65% 4.62 shares
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

No 94% 1.06 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 67% 4.48 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Yes 39% 5.13 shares