Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.24K
- Potential profit
- $74.24K
- User PnL
- -$544.92
Polymarket Trader
baek-ahjin
0xa0c4e14d3d21f197e7d59b73c4ccafbf9815978f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.55K
- Realized PnL
- $113.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.44K
- Potential profit
- $32.44K
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$5.32K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.33K
- Potential profit
- $23.33K
- User PnL
- -$4.53K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.05K
- Potential profit
- $22.05K
- User PnL
- -$7.78K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.55K
- Potential profit
- $15.55K
- User PnL
- -$1.81K
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $14.03K
- Potential profit
- $12.49K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $130.08
Yes position
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33K
- Potential profit
- $13.33K
- User PnL
- -$13.33
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $4.31K
- Potential payout
- $11.61K
- Potential profit
- $7.3K
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.34K
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $11.11K
- User PnL
- -$223.57
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.89K
- Potential profit
- $8.89K
- User PnL
- -$444.34
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.69K
- Potential profit
- $8.69K
- User PnL
- -$657.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $173.35
- Potential payout
- $8.46K
- Potential profit
- $8.28K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$4.23
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $559.94
- Potential payout
- $6.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.11K
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- $286.64
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $6.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.59K
- Multiplier
- 4.20x
- User PnL
- -$43.43
No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$5.56
Yes position
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$9.59
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.11K
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $222.2
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Yes position
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Yes position
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Yes position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $86.1
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.47K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$9.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.28K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.12K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32K
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29K
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.17K
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Kraken position
Hurricanes vs. Kraken
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 30.7% 2,785.58 shares
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder 82% 1,111 shares
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96.1% 8,382.6 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.7% 21,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 92% 3,332.9 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 5,555 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 10% 2,500 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 10% 422 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?Yes 15% 908.11 shares
- Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No 15% 2,231.62 shares
- Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 7% 505.4 shares
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves 28% 3,261.01 shares