Polymarket Trader

0xA0dB861a87eCf8F6E6150a9315C8A54500Cf17c8-1778806184190

0xa0db861a87ecf8f6e6150a9315c8a54500cf17c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.37
Realized PnL: $13.55
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.71
Potential profit: $75.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $58.37
Potential payout: $69.08
Potential profit: $10.71
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.73

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.75
Potential profit: $50.75
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.23
Potential profit: $22.23
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.84

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 87% 69.08 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 98.7% 56.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Down 44% 11.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Down 46% 10.87 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 77% 19.75 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 77% 19.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

No 96.9% 15.82 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

No 91% 15.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Down 40% 12.5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Up 9.9% 50.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 4% 125 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 70.8% 56.5 shares