No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Polymarket Trader
almada
0xa0dff16e8ea2300c68c221281eb033c59c5c1b7d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.5
- Realized PnL
- -$70.52
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Flames position
Flames vs. Rangers
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.71
No position
Will game 5 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 66.1% 40 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 65.9% 40 shares
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 78.9% 20,000 shares
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 78.9% 20,000 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 81% 840.07 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 81% 5,950 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 20.7% 5,300 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 20.7% 5,600 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No 92% 15.22 shares
- Flames vs. RangersFlames 35% 11.43 shares
- Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?Yes 10.9% 91.5 shares
- Will game 5 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?No 44% 98.32 shares