Polymarket Trader

tf2

0xa102b434ce441a3119e146f75ed6276ee1a836d9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $299.5
Realized PnL: $301.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 83.3%
Current value: $292.18
Potential payout: $350.75
Potential profit: $58.58
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $116.79

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.9%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 2.09x
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.97
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.94
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hornets position

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.18K

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.77K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.1K

No position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4K

Yes position

Will Keycat reach $1b first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.66K

No position

Israel military action against Iraq before November?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.36K

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89K

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3K

Yes position

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Will POPCAT reach $1b first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57K

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Yes position

Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Will a candidate from another party win West Virginia Governor Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.56K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 215,176.48 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 40,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 122,344.34 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 85% 11.75 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 85.1% 2 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 85.1% 2 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.7% 195,589.85 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.2% 4,700.29 shares
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Yes 99.9% 15,612.92 shares
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Yes 99.9% 11.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Up 50% 47 shares
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.6% 1 shares