Polymarket Trader

aurisida

0xa11f70caf5d0066cbe4ee593b552d02529e07262

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.44
Realized PnL: $2.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $52.38
Potential payout: $52.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.95
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $706.58

Yes position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $412.95

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $339.77

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $339.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $228.87

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $202.52

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: $147.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.58

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $87.3

Yes position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $73.95

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $39.01

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 14?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Ethereum all time high by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 15?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

No 99.2% 5 shares
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.8% 326 shares
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.3% 326 shares
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 97.5% 716 shares
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2.6% 716 shares
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

No 99.2% 64.9 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99.1% 742 shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1% 742 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 96.2% 17.22 shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.6% 0.32 shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.8% 336 shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.7% 84.32 shares