Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $596.25
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$44.74
Polymarket Trader
0xA123E8503C273D2B8a4C35cD68b35feCb4a58BdF-1768931928146
0xa123e8503c273d2b8a4c35cd68b35fecb4a58bdf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $937.41
- Realized PnL
- $397.52
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Current value
- $149.1
- Potential payout
- $429.19
- Potential profit
- $280.09
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $49.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $111.31
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $7.74
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.31
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $80.75
- Potential payout
- $86.37
- Potential profit
- $5.61
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.35
- Potential profit
- $82.35
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.64
- Potential profit
- $61.64
- User PnL
- -$45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.24
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.1
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.75
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.21
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.57
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.82
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.09
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Yes position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.14
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$99.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 31.83 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23.3% 429.18 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes 73% 61.64 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes 77% 38.96 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes 76% 59.21 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 85% 82.35 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes 78% 64.1 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?25.1% 311.63 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26?29.3% 166.87 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?10% 241.89 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? AND Will France win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?9.8% 247.79 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 91% 424.51 shares