Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $2
Polymarket Trader
jms520111
0xa127afefc306fd3a3ef91981bdc70a85eb0c5f6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106
- Realized PnL
- $145.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11PM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$82.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $111.74
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.33
Hawks position
Hawks vs. 76ers
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3AM ET
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $370?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 1 above $7.50?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in March 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Solana reach $170 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will "Golden - HUNTR/X" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?No 94.9% 111.74 shares
- Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of June 1 above $7.50?No 99.9% 110.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETUp 36.8% 190.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 30?No 99.5% 74.29 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?No 99.9% 73.96 shares
- Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?No 99.7% 73.88 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?No 99.8% 103.67 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No 99.9% 103.46 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $370?Yes 99.7% 103.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in March 2026?No 99.9% 103.01 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?No 99.7% 102.91 shares
- XRP Up or Down - February 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETDown 25.4% 129.55 shares