Polymarket Trader

Drush

0xa12d6454f324b3c5ab9b6265ef99dec1f73bc4da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.77K
Realized PnL: -$1.63K
Win rate: 10.5%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $24.91K
Potential profit: $23.57K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $12.45

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $335.78
Potential payout: $20.35K
Potential profit: $20.01K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$30.52

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $295.08
Potential payout: $20.35K
Potential profit: $20.05K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$71.22

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $15.44K
Potential profit: $13.5K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $254.76

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $373.94
Potential payout: $15.26K
Potential profit: $14.89K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $13.72K
Potential profit: $11.85K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$415.9

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $891.56
Potential payout: $12.49K
Potential profit: $11.6K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$469.51

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.36K
Potential payout: $11.96K
Potential profit: $9.6K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $436.43

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $9.71K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $302.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $482.85
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $7.84K
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: $116.55

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $490.25
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$20.25

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $393
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $350
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $50
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $78.71
Potential payout: $258.06
Potential profit: $179.35
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $216.25
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.1
Potential profit: $239.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $98.46
Potential payout: $205.13
Potential profit: $106.67
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $18.46

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $175.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$86.45

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.27

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Multiplier: 8.62x
User PnL: $13.69

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$94.86

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$124

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$147

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$201.74

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$203

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$205

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$299.76

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$328

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.5% 1,750 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 20,350 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 20,350 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 15,263 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 24,906 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 11,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 12,486.9 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 15,440 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 11,957 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 11,971 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 39% 205.13 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Yes 24.8% 161.48 shares