Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5.25K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.92
Polymarket Trader
InstantManifestation
0xa133ae3421c3cbf77ea77e540960a9d0b544c32e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.55
- Realized PnL
- $27.25
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $167
- Potential profit
- $157.06
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $136
- Potential profit
- $133.09
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $96
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $65.09
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $47.97
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.02
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.3%
- Current value
- $11.93
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $25.07
- Multiplier
- 3.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $7.22
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $28.78
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $28.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?Yes 11% 0.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?Yes 0.2% 2,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?Yes 0.1% 305.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?No 31.6% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?No 35% 5.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?Yes 1% 10.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?Yes 1% 20.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 8?Yes 1% 15.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 8?No 80% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?No 60.5% 33 shares