No position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $58.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
0xa14c...f196
0xa14c8a47dc168c41b9d10c8c9fd5dc04fcf2f196
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- -$96.94
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $27.72
- Potential payout
- $589.74
- Potential profit
- $562.02
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $4.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.65
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$24.68
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$31.39
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 79.4% 632.89 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.9% 589.74 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 5.4% 918.81 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo 82% 330.58 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.8% 549.21 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.1% 549.21 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No 12% 1,046.41 shares