Yes position
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- User PnL
- -$30.04
Polymarket Trader
clanker1000
0xa1648ecc6f7c24ea778a45183097b4c9524f4686
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $173.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $31.8
- Potential payout
- $794.93
- Potential profit
- $763.13
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.53
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $33.26
- Potential payout
- $739.14
- Potential profit
- $705.88
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$24.93
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $465.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $34.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $20.75
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $391.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $29.4
Yes position
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $38
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $62
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
No position
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $52.81
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $26.16
- Potential payout
- $28.13
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $19.67
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $10.76
- Potential profit
- $8.45
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.78x
- User PnL
- $26.79
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.42
No position
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.47
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $9.21
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.44
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
No position
Pump.fun >$10B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Berachain airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?No 5% 666.71 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 7% 436.75 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 10% 322.13 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 11% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?No 7% 600 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 11% 400 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Yes 93% 153.51 shares
- Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes 40.8% 100 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?No 99.3% 53 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 99.5% 1,345 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 99.5% 1,345 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?No 98.4% 22 shares