Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $35.19
- Potential payout
- $293.26
- Potential profit
- $258.07
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.24
Polymarket Trader
leo.stellati
0xa16509e7cfe006d47efcf4528c7eb8de1c15d7b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.07
- Realized PnL
- -$21.92
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $40.03
- Potential payout
- $163.37
- Potential profit
- $123.35
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$24.97
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $12.97
- Potential payout
- $157.23
- Potential profit
- $144.26
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$12.03
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.49
- Potential profit
- $70.49
- User PnL
- -$55.9
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.82
- Potential profit
- $56.82
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $16.89
- Potential payout
- $43.86
- Potential profit
- $26.97
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$8.11
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.85
- Potential profit
- $29.85
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.63
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $7.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.74
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.15
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$18.04
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$26.45
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 5% 10.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 82% 24.39 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 57% 38.6 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 24% 83.33 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 57.3% 34.92 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes 87% 17.24 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 53% 37.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 23.53 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 13% 153.85 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 55.4% 45.12 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 21.4% 10.27 shares
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 12% 13.48 shares