Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $896.78
- Potential payout
- $119.57K
- Potential profit
- $118.67K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.31K
Polymarket Trader
Precognitive
0xa176ebd18d954b25aabc390cf0d1f6f9f4dfa62c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1K
- Realized PnL
- $582.82
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.53K
- Potential profit
- $20.53K
- User PnL
- -$626.41
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$29.39
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $45.36
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $29.53
- Potential payout
- $444
- Potential profit
- $414.47
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$8.66
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $14.82
- Potential payout
- $333
- Potential profit
- $318.18
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $16.95
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $283.05
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Clavicular charged again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.94
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.2
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $100
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
No position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $13.37
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.9
Yes position
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51
No position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$233
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.8% 3,571.43 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 2.1% 6,843.74 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 2.3% 9,124.98 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 2.3% 6,000 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?Yes 9% 127 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 20% 3,000 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?No 66% 150 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 444 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.4% 333 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.5% 300 shares
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?No 47% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 3.4% 140.51 shares