Polymarket Trader

TheRiskManager

0xa1acd1ea33dce7a18e50a11ab80f29131b81bd9f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $170.33
Realized PnL: $1.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $937.56
Potential profit: $937.56
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $593.5
Potential profit: $593.5
User PnL: -$26.08

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430
Potential profit: $430
User PnL: -$31.39

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.24
Potential profit: $423.24
User PnL: -$14.6

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $402.84
Potential profit: $402.84
User PnL: -$29.45

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.55
Potential profit: $400.55
User PnL: -$24.79

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $94.98
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $195.03
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $63.37

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.76
Potential profit: $277.76
User PnL: -$6.8

No position

Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.75
Potential profit: $276.75
User PnL: -$23.65

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $231.66
Potential profit: $231.66
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Current value: $37.26
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $192.74
Multiplier: 6.17x
User PnL: $6.67

No position

Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.25
Potential profit: $225.25
User PnL: -$20.95

No position

Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.44
Potential profit: $206.44
User PnL: -$17.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $38.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $161.9
Multiplier: 5.25x
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.07
Potential profit: $199.07
User PnL: -$21.02

No position

Will Pfizer Inc (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.02
Potential profit: $186.02
User PnL: -$23.31

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$9.6

No position

Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $145
User PnL: -$12.25

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in January?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.24
Potential profit: $136.24
User PnL: -$9.86

No position

Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.44
Potential profit: $134.44
User PnL: -$15.49

No position

Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.97
Potential profit: $132.97
User PnL: -$20.75

No position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.41
Potential profit: $132.41
User PnL: -$16.49

No position

Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$18.6

No position

Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$20.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.9

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.48

Down position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.1

No position

Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.53

No position

Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.22

No position

Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.81

No position

Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.35

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.67

No position

Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.21

No position

Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.4

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.7

Down position

Meta (META) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.58

No position

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Down position

Gold (GC) Up or Down on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.47

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.74

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.25

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.15

Down position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.81

Down position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.49

No position

Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

Up position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 7?

Down 46% 20 shares
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on July 7?

Down 47% 9.46 shares
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on July 7?

Up 60% 20 shares
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 7?

Down 55% 20 shares
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on July 7?

Down 50% 20 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 43% 46.51 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 52% 38.46 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 47% 39.99 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 29?

Down 31% 10 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 50% 40 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

Down 28% 40 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Over 51% 39.22 shares