Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $160.03
- Potential payout
- $627.57
- Potential profit
- $467.54
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$339.97
Polymarket Trader
Santeau - 34571
0xa1ad12f75191bf1129651b3bd82df6345dced1b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $160.03
- Realized PnL
- $613.73
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.16
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.62
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.41
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.33
Yes position
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.9
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.83
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.9
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.65
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.45
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.76
No position
Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.69
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.07
Yes position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.66
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.94
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$70.24
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$313.21
No position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$568
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.4% 3,735 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 81.3% 1,310.34 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 79.7% 627.57 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 74.8% 1,577.96 shares
- Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?Yes 96.4% 1,180.33 shares
- Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 5, 2026?Yes 99% 1,138.43 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 88.6% 1,272.62 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 89% 1,272.63 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?Yes 98.3% 1,152.07 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?Yes 96.9% 1,152.08 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 99.2% 1,125.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 94.3% 1,125.58 shares