N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $16.19
- Potential payout
- $21.6
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $12.69
Polymarket Trader
kavin1337
0xa1aff25456f31b3bd7930656d233354b4e13e231
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.15
- Realized PnL
- $4.39
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $10.95
- Potential payout
- $13.95
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 64% 8 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 84% 5.95 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 16.2% 21.6 shares
- Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No 99% 5.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 96% 4.17 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 69.5% 14.39 shares