Yes position
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $65.44
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$155.34
Polymarket Trader
0xa1b16B041851E682f3aA672a12CE4b362C979bEF-1769290617862
0xa1b16b041851e682f3aa672a12ce4b362c979bef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $439.25
- Realized PnL
- -$229.43
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $83.06
- Potential payout
- $669.83
- Potential profit
- $586.77
- Multiplier
- 8.06x
- User PnL
- $47.87
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $40.86
- Potential payout
- $628.56
- Potential profit
- $587.7
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $67.89
- Potential payout
- $522.23
- Potential profit
- $454.34
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$33.67
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $19.79
- Potential payout
- $501
- Potential profit
- $481.21
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $14.8
- Potential payout
- $418
- Potential profit
- $403.2
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $398.99
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$83
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.75
- Potential profit
- $344.75
- User PnL
- -$81
Yes position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $14.7
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $285.3
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.3
- Potential profit
- $279.3
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.29
- Potential profit
- $240.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $46.86
- Potential payout
- $228.57
- Potential profit
- $181.71
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$27.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.5
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $181.99
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $24.49
- Potential payout
- $199.94
- Potential profit
- $175.45
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $27.37
- Potential payout
- $165.9
- Potential profit
- $138.53
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $15.76
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $139.5
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.03
- Potential profit
- $129.03
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.69
- Potential profit
- $104.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.78
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$87
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$133.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 12% 2,508.08 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 9.2% 12,499.94 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.2% 2,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.2% 2,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.2% 2,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.2% 3,200 shares
- Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 1.6% 5.24 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 4.9% 1.63 shares
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 4.1% 68.38 shares
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 2.6% 100 shares
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes 2.2% 34.74 shares