No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.2
- Potential profit
- $97.2
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
blackl0tus
0xa1c5ce67ded7f82ca01056b3130c0c3b4b7eced2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25
- Realized PnL
- $252.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.98
- Potential profit
- $90.98
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown 49% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown 49% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETUp 50% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp 50% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp 50% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETDown 51% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETUp 50% 5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 92% 6.09 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?No 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes 87% 34.48 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 14% 35.71 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 40 shares