Yes position
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
0xa1c6...bb70
0xa1c6f9406efa52cf49b35f86c91674898fc1bb70
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$0.45
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 29% 7 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 28% 7 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 28% 7 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 28% 7 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 28% 7 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 29% 7 shares
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes 22% 10 shares