Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $62.53
- Potential profit
- $59.87
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Polymarket Trader
0xa1cb98aB339D38fe0F8de14E5dae7C2f5Cc7aF17-1774727888985
0xa1cb98ab339d38fe0f8de14e5dae7c2f5cc7af17
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.64
- Realized PnL
- $1.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $51.85
- Potential profit
- $51.07
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $42.13
- Potential profit
- $41.94
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $34.18
- Potential profit
- $34.16
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.1
- Potential profit
- $21.1
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $38.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?No 10% 42.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 67.2% 46.95 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?Yes 80.1% 37.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 67.2% 15.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?Yes 6.9% 37.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?Yes 4.3% 34.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?Yes 5% 62.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?Yes 5% 26.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?Yes 4% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?Yes 99.3% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?Yes 99.1% 83.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?Yes 4.1% 58.56 shares