No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $61.1
- Potential payout
- $531.3
- Potential profit
- $470.2
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Polymarket Trader
0xa1d5...a81e
0xa1d5fce060dc22f3f77c4b28c65e15783a1ea81e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $193.08
- Realized PnL
- $28.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $51.14
- Potential payout
- $170.45
- Potential profit
- $119.32
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$23.86
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $80.84
- Potential payout
- $117.18
- Potential profit
- $36.34
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $5.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.45
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 44% 170.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp 98% 3.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETUp 80% 3.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp 91% 3.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp 81.7% 3.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETUp 55% 5.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown 60% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp 98% 3.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp 85% 3.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETUp 72% 4.17 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 89% 102.94 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 13.2% 531.3 shares