Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $438.14
- Potential profit
- $438.14
- User PnL
- -$175.25
Polymarket Trader
cacacac
0xa1ee5a64dff968d71f07a0b58b261b7a87548c38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.79
- Realized PnL
- $300.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $106.79
- Potential payout
- $201.49
- Potential profit
- $94.7
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$36.27
Under position
Grambling State Tigers vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 137.5
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.19
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.38
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.05
Yes position
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-01?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.35
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.04
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 71% 201.49 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 40% 243.81 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 40% 194.33 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 73% 156.22 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 14.1% 58.01 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 8% 350 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No 11% 182 shares
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-01?Yes 80% 143.97 shares
- Grambling State Tigers vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 137.5Under 98% 10.19 shares