Polymarket Trader

vadanrod14

0xa1f7fada874c6caeadbc15293975b3c283872d3c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $166.54
Realized PnL: $974.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Texas Rangers position

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.18
Potential profit: $735.18
User PnL: -$352.89

Yes position

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $153.32
Potential payout: $278.76
Potential profit: $125.44
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$8.36

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.19
Potential profit: $274.19
User PnL: -$95.97

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.19
Potential profit: $274.19
User PnL: -$60.32

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.19
Potential profit: $274.19
User PnL: -$54.84

Yes position

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.19
Potential profit: $274.19
User PnL: -$109.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.69
Potential profit: $238.69
User PnL: -$54.9

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $5.93
Potential payout: $153.9
Potential profit: $147.97
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$41.78

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.91
Potential profit: $112.91
User PnL: -$82.42

Yes position

Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $112.9
Potential profit: $111.6
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$51.76

No position

Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$49.35

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.92
Potential profit: $72.92
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $69.29
Potential profit: $69.08
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$12.96

Yes position

Will Vitality go undefeated on maps at BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.17
Potential profit: $64.17
User PnL: -$29.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.65
Potential profit: $34.65
User PnL: -$16.63

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.02
Potential profit: $30.02
User PnL: -$5.1

No position

Will Le Mans FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.18
Potential profit: $25.18
User PnL: -$11.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trump-Kennedy Center" or "Trump Kennedy" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.46
Potential profit: $24.46
User PnL: -$1.96

FURIA Esports position

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.79
Potential profit: $23.79
User PnL: -$7.85

Yes position

Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$2.3

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $4.41
User PnL: -$2.87

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $3.29
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $3.11
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

NBA: SGA Award Parlay

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: -$1.68

Resolved Context

Closed positions

GIANTX position

LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.66

Yes position

Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.94

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.19

No position

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.8

Yes position

Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.09

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $55.84

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.18

No position

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.2

No position

Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $18.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

No position

The Masters 2026: Playoff?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.95

No position

Will Jason Day win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Jesper de Jong position

Cagliari: Stefano Travaglia vs Jesper de Jong

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Lorenzo Musetti position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolo

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.85

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.42

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.21

No position

Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71

No position

Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.36

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 66% 14.3 shares
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

GIANTX 82.1% 479 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 37.8% 531 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 15?

No 40% 270.72 shares
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-04-16?

Yes 6% 146.74 shares
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-04-17?

No 16% 153 shares
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-15?

No 26% 34.22 shares
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-04-17?

Yes 6% 151 shares
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-14?

No 37% 51.02 shares
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-14?

No 37% 52 shares
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-04-14?

No 37% 49.06 shares
The Masters 2026: Playoff?

No 62.6% 16.92 shares