Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $51.34
- Potential profit
- $51.31
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Polymarket Trader
0xa1ff...fb82
0xa1ffa10d23cbbbe27744f96e1de2ab6e1b4ffb82
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $24.47
- Realized PnL
- $8.16
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.18
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $5.82
- Potential payout
- $47.16
- Potential profit
- $41.34
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $42.01
- Potential profit
- $41
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $21.4
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $10.63
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 9.4% 51.34 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 25% 5.55 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 11.42 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.03 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.03 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.02 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.03 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.03 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.03 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.03 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.03 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?Yes 77% 0.03 shares