Polymarket Trader

JosephIsGreat

0xa204c9cfab0569f2623d2ec6fdbf26a986ddbf99

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $139.59
Realized PnL: $12.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $121.37
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$208.89

Yes position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $16.42
Potential payout: $670.15
Potential profit: $653.73
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$65.96

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $180.1
Potential profit: $178.3
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$17.41

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.88K

Yes position

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $942.88

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $796.47

Yes position

RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $756.49

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $490.55

Yes position

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.62

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $384.46

Yes position

Will Toulouse FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.18

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $258.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.44

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.52

Yes position

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.96

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.39

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $154.55

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.63

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141.72

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.38

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.99

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.9

Over position

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.37

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.32

Over position

Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 9% 5 shares
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?

Yes 4.7% 474 shares
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?

Yes 8% 464.42 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 9% 59.99 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 9% 62 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 9% 800 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Yes 11% 120 shares
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Yes 10% 60.1 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?

No 2% 100 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Yes 8% 370.1 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

No 15% 13.33 shares
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Yes 10% 50 shares