No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $194.37
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 7.35x
- User PnL
- $45.71
Polymarket Trader
0xa214B50909D727423Afd013a438A29C08B070E25-1720895894273
0xa214b50909d727423afd013a438a29c08b070e25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $53.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $111.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $103.18
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $306.75
- Potential payout
- $757.41
- Potential profit
- $450.66
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $39.58
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $377.08
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.42
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.33
- Potential profit
- $243.33
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $161.78
- Potential payout
- $200.97
- Potential profit
- $39.19
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $7.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.91
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No 10.4% 1,429.21 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.3% 154.72 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes 0.6% 243.33 shares
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 39% 757.41 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 602.41 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 92% 154.73 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes 28% 151.25 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 416.67 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?No 55% 90.91 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes 27% 151.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 79% 324.05 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 77% 200.97 shares