Polymarket Trader

tedward111

0xa21830f241f888e66c3ed3f144e5fc00793e94cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.6K
Realized PnL: $28.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $27.98K
Potential profit: $26.88K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$268.23

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $14.58K
Potential profit: $13.05K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $883.07

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $139.16
Potential payout: $8.43K
Potential profit: $8.29K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$219.52

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$1.25K

No position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$141.77

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$927.22

No position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $145.98
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $94.29

Yes position

Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $47.72
Potential payout: $734.21
Potential profit: $686.49
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $19.95

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $35.91
Potential payout: $398.99
Potential profit: $363.08
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$39.02

No position

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $241.92
Potential payout: $249.28
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $46.27

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $32.7
Potential payout: $225.5
Potential profit: $192.8
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$7.18

No position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $101.99
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $18
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $7.9

No position

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $97.04
Potential payout: $107.82
Potential profit: $10.78
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $60.38

Yes position

Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $100.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $83.5
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $63.64
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $10.36
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $17.82

No position

Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $63.78
Potential payout: $71.26
Potential profit: $7.48
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $26.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $914.94

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.05

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.03

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $692.28

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $677.77

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627.18

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.32

No position

Kamala president by Friday?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.12

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.04

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.4% 555 shares
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

No 34% 107.82 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 62% 1,400 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 62% 1,696.72 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 62% 1,200 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 42.9% 177.33 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

No 43.9% 205 shares
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

No 79% 206.77 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 59.5% 423.97 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 60.4% 64 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 69.9% 570.39 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

No 36% 677.86 shares