No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $39.2
- Potential profit
- $29.2
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $5
Polymarket Trader
0xC9Ac825482C4414e403B0ee8c528ADeB52085cd4-1739619212215
0xa2246539d2bdd6bb1d00b1b34b634e8df13102fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.61
- Realized PnL
- -$50.66
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$5.54
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.53
- Potential profit
- $10.53
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Senegal to score first vs. France?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.25
Yes position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Y
Yes position
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.68
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Y
Yes position
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Y
Yes position
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Y
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.42
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.15
No position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes 18% 6 shares
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 37% 7 shares
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 6% 25 shares
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 10% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 62% 7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 81% 7 shares
- Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 11% 20 shares
- Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 25% 7 shares
- Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes 11% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 79% 6 shares