Polymarket Trader

0xA240fb78682A8b6264978191a494755423acCa20-1779404907632

0xa240fb78682a8b6264978191a494755423acca20

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $653.22
Realized PnL: $120.86
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $11.09
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$18.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.13
Potential profit: $566.13
User PnL: -$12

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $314.56
Potential payout: $321.97
Potential profit: $7.41
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $64.56

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $40.26
Potential payout: $175.44
Potential profit: $135.18
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $30.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.17
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $147.89
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $12.67
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $120.67
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.33

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $4.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $120.38
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$5.38

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $100.58
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $15.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $112.5
User PnL: -$9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $103.45
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.86
Potential profit: $100.86
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 3 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $12.02
Potential payout: $62.11
Potential profit: $50.09
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.15
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $50.68
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.33

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

No position

GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 62.11 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

No 8% 125 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.7% 175.44 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 77.6% 321.97 shares
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia?

Yes 2.9% 103.45 shares
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?

Yes 9% 100 shares
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia?

Yes 8% 112.5 shares
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 3 Czechia?

Yes 2% 100 shares
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia?

Yes 8% 100 shares