0xA24D66D1e4da30f8E8cc0D637B406A150Ef76f2A-1766805520505

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $538.92
Potential payout: $16.33K
Potential profit: $15.79K
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$365.86

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $11.35K
Potential profit: $9.74K
Multiplier: 7.05x
User PnL: $49.02

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $727.15
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.25K
Multiplier: 5.46x
User PnL: $127.16

No position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $204.07
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $842.45
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $20.45
Potential payout: $757.34
Potential profit: $736.89
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$79.55

Yes position

Will February 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $709.12
Potential profit: $709.12
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $105.52
Potential payout: $659.51
Potential profit: $553.99
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$14.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $564.64
Potential profit: $564.64
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $490.3
Potential profit: $490.3
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $483.48
Potential profit: $483.48
User PnL: -$104

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.86
Potential profit: $247.86
User PnL: -$2

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $247.2
Potential profit: $247.2
User PnL: -$3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.68
Potential profit: $208.68
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 11PM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.35
Potential profit: $205.35
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.76
Potential profit: $165.76
User PnL: -$98.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.49
Potential profit: $136.49
User PnL: -$6.82

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.2
Potential profit: $108.2
User PnL: -$17.45

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.44
Potential profit: $92.44
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.26

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.86

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.37

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.27

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.14

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.18

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.66

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.55

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.48

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.37

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.27

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.82

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.84

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.95

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET