Polymarket Trader

0xa7500779679d65c2b0940d8e329f7a79ce2eda59

0xa24da183c4aa78bf700c4a556ad7cbb41c92c232

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $635.69
Realized PnL: $1.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $447.57
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$138.12

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$74.6

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $829.93
Potential profit: $829.93
User PnL: -$44.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $719.98
Potential profit: $719.98
User PnL: -$100.8

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$19.14

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $129.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $20.25
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $36.75

No position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$40.5

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $27.53
Potential payout: $131.1
Potential profit: $103.57
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$36.71

Suns position

Suns vs. Heat

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $114.29
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$74

No position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $25.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $74.5
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$27.5

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.56
Potential profit: $97.56
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$27.2

Yes position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$46.2

Yes position

Ramp IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $45.51
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $382.54

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.7

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.5

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.74

Yes position

Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.87

No position

Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.31

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.88

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.03

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.86

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by March 1st, 2022?

Ends Mar 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.76

No position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $26.8

Yes position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.8

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.04

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.09

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 1,278.63 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 85% 100 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.8% 88.57 shares
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

No 86.6% 123.36 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 1,645.42 shares
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

No 97.9% 40 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 330 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 700 shares
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 27% 7.29 shares
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

No 60% 100 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

No 34% 80 shares
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

No 76.7% 11.8 shares