Polymarket Trader

0xa28b...a572

0xa28b27d5bc80dc7586215ddec8b6ba1fab46a572

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $183.59
Realized PnL: -$19.25
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $42.73
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.38K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$26.86

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $830.42
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $8.07
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $125.27
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.4%
Current value: $55.9
Potential payout: $95.81
Potential profit: $39.9
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $39.9

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $87.72
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $75.04
Potential profit: $72.97
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$7.94

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $66.54
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.7%
Current value: $29.4
Potential payout: $70.59
Potential profit: $41.19
Multiplier: 2.40x
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $6.35
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $32.12
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 13-19?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $32.22
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $13.36
Potential payout: $21.4
Potential profit: $8.03
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $18.65
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.12
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$1.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 31.9%
Current value: $5.1
Potential payout: $16.03
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 3.14x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.8%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $10.71
Potential profit: $7.84
Multiplier: 3.73x
User PnL: -$0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6PM ET

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5PM ET

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 6.9%
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 2% 325 shares
Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Yes 7.5% 133.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6AM ET

Down 6% 16.67 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63.5% 12.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6PM ET

Down 50% 6 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 31.2% 16.03 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 13-19?

Yes 9% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5PM ET

Down 38% 5.26 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 833.33 shares