No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.55K
- Potential profit
- $9.55K
- User PnL
- -$352.09
Polymarket Trader
Double-Lunchmeat
0xa2921b14bd7e7e771e2c11458cf2ff793fa69742
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.19K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.67K
- Potential profit
- $4.67K
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$343
Yes position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- User PnL
- -$65.52
Yes position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $578.15
- Potential profit
- $578.15
- User PnL
- -$115.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021?
Ends Apr 2, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
Yes position
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
Ends Feb 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $723.9
N
No position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021?
Ends Mar 16, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.41
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
Ends Feb 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 48480936.02x
- User PnL
- $180.52
Lakers position
Will the Grizzlies or the Lakers win their February 12th matchup?
Ends Feb 12, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.8
Yes position
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.71
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.43
No position
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021?
Ends Apr 14, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.59
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $44.55
No position
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
Ends Jul 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 7061299.45x
- User PnL
- $21.73
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $9.11
Y
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7?
Ends Apr 8, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.05
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?
Ends Apr 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 11045224.83x
- User PnL
- -$115.97
Yes position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$187.95
N
No position
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021?
Ends May 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6242795.28x
- User PnL
- -$214.35
Yes position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$415.62
No position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?
Ends Jan 22, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 168680895.46x
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 3% 2,140.46 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 11.7% 542.46 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 3.9% 7,404.62 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 10% 542.46 shares
- Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes 19.9% 578.15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 636.36 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 636.36 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes 15.8% 444.75 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes 17.1% 403.76 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes 8% 4,200 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes 12% 41 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes 7% 100 shares