Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $16.35
- Potential payout
- $284.43
- Potential profit
- $268.08
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$6.12
Polymarket Trader
0xa298...15ce
0xa2985dc11fa682b179f8909e8697a244f81915ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $59.87
- Realized PnL
- $4.81
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $17.52
- Potential payout
- $269.56
- Potential profit
- $252.03
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $25.49
- Potential payout
- $207.21
- Potential profit
- $181.72
- Multiplier
- 8.13x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.65
- Potential profit
- $78.65
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $13.78
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.81
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 284.43 shares
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.3% 207.21 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 269.56 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 25.4% 78.65 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?Yes 99.9% 90.9 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?Yes 11% 90.91 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 24?Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 23?Yes 8.4% 667.02 shares