Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $123.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.72
Polymarket Trader
tokenizable
0xa2ab712e3a405efc00507de086d2b6ce28986327
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.86
- Realized PnL
- $297.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $123.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.72
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $123.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.72
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $123.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 82°F or higher on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $7.51
- Potential payout
- $10.01
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $144.36
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $47.6
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $42.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.79
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $4.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $4.14
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $2.96
N
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $2.03
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.96
No position
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 10?No 77% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 10?No 97% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 9?No 99.6% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?No 80% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?No 31% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 9?No 99% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 9?No 88.9% 8 shares
- PARIVISION to win 2-0?No 14% 85 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 96.2% 8 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.9% 8 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 98.4% 8 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 43% 8 shares