Yes position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $30.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $29.7
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Polymarket Trader
0xa2b6...4451
0xa2b6c5e6a1d7000efa2aeaf7b4f375b02bf84451
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $222.1
- Realized PnL
- -$0.33
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Y
Yes position
Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $41.69
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $18.31
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
N
No position
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $33.89
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $26.11
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Y
Yes position
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $48
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Astralis Make a Roster Change before September?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $52.2
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$22.8
Yes position
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $18.35
- Potential payout
- $54.77
- Potential profit
- $36.42
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.11
- Potential profit
- $54.11
- User PnL
- -$29.22
Yes position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.08
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $27.31
- Potential profit
- $22.4
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $23.66
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
No position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $20.76
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $11.15
- Potential payout
- $21.66
- Potential profit
- $10.51
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.11
N
No position
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Y
Yes position
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $152.50 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title?No 60% 23.99 shares