Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$160
Polymarket Trader
0xA2b774ec893c04D113D7914352505Eb6826AefEE-1767886354292
0xa2b774ec893c04d113d7914352505eb6826aefee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.25
- Realized PnL
- $136.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $33.25
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $666.75
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$106.75
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 20% 700 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 20% 140 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes 16% 1,000 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 86% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 61% 20 shares
- Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No 99.5% 98.49 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 62% 100 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?Yes 20% 100 shares