Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $47.13
- Potential profit
- $38.41
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Polymarket Trader
0xA2CEae5D7B40B910fb3673Bc87F2bf0126Fdc879-1771555236222
0xa2ceae5d7b40b910fb3673bc87f2bf0126fdc879
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.52
- Realized PnL
- -$10.14
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $9.53
- Potential payout
- $38.8
- Potential profit
- $29.27
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.47
Yes position
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.7%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $19.01
- Multiplier
- 3.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $15.22
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.17
- Potential profit
- $7.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.72
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4.26
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 40.2% 9.95 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 9.7% 20.4 shares
- Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 1.8% 22.47 shares
- H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?Yes 11% 11.76 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 0.5% 5.4 shares
- Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?Yes 30% 26.67 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 6.25 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 39.1% 23.04 shares
- Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?No 12% 8.69 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 1.3% 15.74 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.3% 13.07 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24% 10 shares