Polymarket Trader

Tildaaad

0xa2d2d4d24a4ca90b7f8df6160cd8baf0c80e36b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $87.39
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.45
Potential profit: $159.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $13.76
Potential payout: $112.31
Potential profit: $98.56
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$4.91

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $94.83
Potential profit: $94.21
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.14
Potential profit: $91.14
User PnL: -$8.8

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $90.9
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.83
Potential profit: $65.83
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.06
Potential profit: $59.06
User PnL: -$11.65

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $51.95
Potential profit: $46.55
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.88
Potential profit: $50.88
User PnL: -$6.15

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.2

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $41.63
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $4.37
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $8.19

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $25.99
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $20.01
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$6.07

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.01
Potential profit: $45.01
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.88
Potential profit: $43.88
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.97
Potential profit: $40.97
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?

No 52% 1.4 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 56% 1.58 shares
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 5 shares
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 5 shares
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

No 90% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 83% 9.98 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Yes 18% 9.94 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 95% 3.46 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

No 61% 5 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?

No 8% 5 shares