Polymarket Trader

iwasmugen

0xa2dd739b2d2a27ad075dc886de18d7d22b4cd9b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.42K
Realized PnL: $2.73K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $270.98
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.58K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$169.42

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $27.34
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $121.94
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.46

Yes position

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $165.74
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: -$34.26

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $210.36
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $926.72
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$42.05

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $54.17
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $977.58
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $39.13
Potential payout: $869.47
Potential profit: $830.34
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$28.71

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $40.67
Potential payout: $746.27
Potential profit: $705.6
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$9.33

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.3%
Current value: $103.29
Potential payout: $677.28
Potential profit: $574
Multiplier: 6.56x
User PnL: $44.29

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $50.72
Potential payout: $480.77
Potential profit: $430.05
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $36.34
Potential payout: $462.96
Potential profit: $426.62
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: -$13.66

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $14.79
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $413.79
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $45.26
Potential payout: $326.8
Potential profit: $281.54
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $57.25
Potential payout: $295.86
Potential profit: $238.61
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $16.07
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $222.02
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $205.48
Potential profit: $192.43
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $18.17
Potential payout: $145.4
Potential profit: $127.22
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $20.02
Potential payout: $138.1
Potential profit: $118.07
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $114.38
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.38
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $79.85
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $10.77
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $66.15
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $16.79
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $54.64
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.21

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 76.4%
Current value: $49.8
Potential payout: $65.18
Potential profit: $15.38
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.97

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.56

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.3

Yes position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$2.09

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United States be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.74

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 19% 257.63 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 76.7% 65.18 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 10% 957.1 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 29% 12.86 shares
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Will Ivory Coast be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 155.13 shares
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 60 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 29% 31.03 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 63% 23.81 shares
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79% 25.32 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 77% 32.47 shares