Polymarket Trader

IDontLikeRisk

0xa2dd75ac3fdf9ab274a6e939129feb170353e1b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.69K
Realized PnL: $21.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $1.35K
Potential payout: $19.95K
Potential profit: $18.61K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $1.35K

France position

Spread: Iraq (-4.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.99K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.9%
Current value: $3.79K
Potential payout: $11.9K
Potential profit: $8.11K
Multiplier: 3.14x
User PnL: -$593.88

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.5K
User PnL: -$4.86K

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81K
Potential profit: $7.81K
User PnL: $0

Jannik Sinner position

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $5.7K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $198.42
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $198.42

Wawrinka position

Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: $0

Cavaliers position

Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $331.48
Potential payout: $331.98
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $331.48

Over position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 245.5

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$64.75

Cavaliers position

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.98
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $30.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Eagles position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.35K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.64

Chargers position

Chargers vs. Raiders

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.35

No position

Elon Musk arrested in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.75

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Ravens position

Ravens vs. Texans

Ends Jan 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.47

No position

Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?

Ends Jan 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.1

No position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 20-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.04

Marozsan position

Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.77

Alexander Blockx position

Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.54

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.31

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.96

Yes position

Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

Cowboys position

Buccaneers vs. Cowboys

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Knicks

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.77

Yes position

Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

No position

Will Brentford win on 2025-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.12

No position

Will West Ham win on 2025-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.93

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.14

Lions position

Vikings vs. Lions

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.14

No position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Argentina 99.9% 2,000 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Argentina 99.8% 2,000 shares
Bax vs. Rodesch: Match O/U 23.5

Over 99.9% 43 shares
Bax vs. Rodesch: Match O/U 22.5

Over 99.9% 43 shares
Bax vs. Rodesch: Match O/U 21.5

Over 99.9% 29 shares
Florent Bax vs. Chris Rodesch: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 99.9% 29 shares
Set Handicap: Rodesch (-1.5) vs Bax (+1.5)

Bax 99.9% 43 shares
Broady vs. Holmgren: Match O/U 21.5

Over 99.9% 43 shares
Broady vs. Holmgren: Match O/U 22.5

Over 99.9% 29 shares
Broady vs. Holmgren: Match O/U 23.5

Over 99.9% 43 shares
Liam Broady vs. August Holmgren: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Over 2.5 99.9% 43 shares
Set Handicap: Holmgren (-1.5) vs Broady (+1.5)

Broady 99.9% 29 shares