No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.71K
- Potential profit
- $34.71K
- User PnL
- -$34.71
Polymarket Trader
Market-.-Maker
0xa2e492ce3ed160ac1b0cba9c78ea34cc9dbcc9fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.22
- Realized PnL
- -$98.7
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$1.09K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.66K
- Potential profit
- $7.66K
- User PnL
- -$52.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.21
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.99
- Potential profit
- $269.99
- User PnL
- -$3.66
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.66
- Potential profit
- $66.66
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $30.5
- Potential profit
- $29.73
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$5.41
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.78
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $27.43
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $22.2
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $8.6
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.28
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.75
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$71.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Up 86% 20 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 27,710 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 3,182 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,000 shares