Polymarket Trader

bigmichael

0xa2ea9504a82a6e1707a5d7e9f4c9f789fbe88ed1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $359.54
Realized PnL: $991.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $199.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$39.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $99.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $50.42
Potential payout: $50.55
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $11.97

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.13
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $15.02
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.08
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $9.7
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.64
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.27
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$0.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?

No 80% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?

No 82% 5.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 19?

No 99% 85.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 19?

No 98.9% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

No 99.6% 235 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Yes 94% 7.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 18?

No 99.2% 56.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 18?

No 98.9% 35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 18?

No 98.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 18?

No 98.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 18?

No 98.8% 119 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?

No 99.9% 30 shares