Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $13.99
- Potential payout
- $93.27
- Potential profit
- $79.28
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $3.99
Polymarket Trader
0xa2ed...9d98
0xa2eded4da718244771d4f2b7810da45533de9d98
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $253.69
- Realized PnL
- $1.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $36.83
- Potential payout
- $60.38
- Potential profit
- $23.55
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $21.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $27.87
- Potential payout
- $35.96
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $8.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $23.23
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $15.92
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.01
- Potential payout
- $24.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $23.49
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $23.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$8.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $22.86
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $22.42
- Potential profit
- $22.36
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $18.73
- Potential profit
- $18.72
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $12.64
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.04
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $4.84
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $4.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $2.96
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.86
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.7
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.35
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?No 60% 0.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 79.1% 12.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?No 88% 11.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 69% 12.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 69% 1.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 69% 1.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 69% 1.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 68% 7.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?No 87% 11.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?No 68% 1.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 69.7% 14.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?No 65% 3.26 shares