Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $10.69
- Multiplier
- 7.43x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Polymarket Trader
0xa2F47E796852328EAebAf3BfCFc708ffDa6cf6Bf-1769864260271
0xa2f47e796852328eaebaf3bfcfc708ffda6cf6bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.32
- Realized PnL
- $4.79
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $6.21
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.17
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 6.21 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 12.35 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 6.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 78% 1.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown 45% 2.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown 87% 1.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown 50% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown 74% 3.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 45% 4.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown 59% 3.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 85% 2.35 shares