Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.19K
- Potential profit
- $10.19K
- User PnL
- -$124.98
Polymarket Trader
topbanana
0xa2fb14fa653b9ed58d7b0ad55022b305be2da6a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $769.6
- Realized PnL
- $2.85K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.24K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.36K
- Potential profit
- $3.36K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $540.04
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $71.84
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $229.56
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$130.44
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.3
Yes position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.42
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.09
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$21.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 27.4% 219.16 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 25% 399.33 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 28.8% 173.84 shares
- Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?Yes 2.2% 26.65 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 22.2% 450.1 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 26% 192.31 shares
- Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Yes 18.9% 264.55 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 10% 909.09 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 14.2% 351 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No 5% 100 shares
- Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Yes 20.9% 239.25 shares