Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $97.94
- Potential payout
- $799.48
- Potential profit
- $701.54
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$15.49
Polymarket Trader
Nosig
0xa30609b267870e3f795d93f2dbff5ed6d82a9802
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- $21.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $158.54
- Potential payout
- $777.52
- Potential profit
- $618.98
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- $12.34
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $467.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $133.79
- Potential payout
- $339.99
- Potential profit
- $206.2
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- $14.81
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $280.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $35.5
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $179
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $126.07
- Potential payout
- $132.01
- Potential profit
- $5.94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $19.68
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73K
No position
TikTok sale announced by September 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $868.96
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.71
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.42
Yes position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540.06
No position
TikTok sale announced by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.82
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.99
Yes position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $342
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.81
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -5°C on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.06
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.03
Yes position
TikTok sale announced by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.03
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.77
No position
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 4?No 98.8% 19.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 83% 20 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 200 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 6.4% 100 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.3% 100 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 100 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 100 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 100 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.3% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?Yes 97% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 1?No 98.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?No 96.7% 5 shares